Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1280.562716 1409.326583 1540.866388 1685.017694 1838.271788 1996.069744 2170.554576
2025-04-27 1088.009504 1278.762530 1482.181865 1714.122611 1970.123887 2242.957828 2554.607991
2025-05-04 949.407123 1174.043246 1421.542776 1712.103875 2041.511162 2401.096373 2820.999792
2025-05-11 838.010089 1084.094995 1363.075406 1698.849885 2088.108002 2521.428826 3036.465995
2025-05-18 762.025745 1026.105689 1333.075029 1710.514497 2156.374515 2660.813568 3269.091757
2025-05-25 687.231556 962.268907 1289.778365 1700.681942 2194.615726 2761.791640 3454.690265
2025-06-01 638.018056 925.237371 1274.647970 1720.804314 2265.201898 2898.220570 3680.038549
2025-06-08 578.520517 870.431034 1233.529466 1705.562737 2290.278950 2978.720155 3838.168049
2025-06-15 550.689004 854.171757 1238.591770 1745.622075 2381.257189 3137.032433 4088.468458
2025-06-22 511.585040 820.027668 1218.398441 1751.893418 2429.096055 3242.484400 4275.248766
2025-06-29 472.001848 782.418245 1191.298404 1747.241309 2461.653010 3328.239140 4437.692185
2025-07-06 417.135514 719.793978 1127.828016 1692.498411 2428.419645 3331.155621 4497.713329
2025-07-13 407.764317 721.950164 1151.811600 1753.285700 2544.025685 3520.685461 4789.944550
2025-07-20 388.332325 708.188609 1153.224764 1783.721967 2620.716486 3662.403190 5024.657543
2025-07-27 359.773208 678.863367 1131.431369 1781.639013 2654.204616 3749.337561 5191.353278
2025-08-03 330.006206 645.603243 1102.306424 1768.013329 2671.324873 3814.750992 5330.795850
2025-08-10 310.329321 626.669555 1092.511821 1780.005206 2721.677920 3922.239582 5523.261129
2025-08-17 285.887220 598.412866 1067.728500 1769.896831 2741.600314 3990.132921 5665.543109
2025-08-24 271.656925 585.829375 1065.263404 1790.583150 2802.645412 4111.139771 5875.725375
2025-08-31 249.054487 557.637319 1038.073871 1774.914602 2813.451889 4166.314025 6001.638708
2025-09-07 242.150578 555.793840 1050.552398 1816.093658 2902.065277 4323.512259 6259.180215
2025-09-14 227.398914 539.206905 1039.530998 1822.539573 2942.480327 4417.339396 6435.363773
2025-09-21 211.114665 518.696149 1021.410049 1817.757984 2966.740975 4489.547997 6583.612390